2025 AMC 12A 第 22 题

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22.

0011 之间独立均匀随机地选出三个实数。这三个数中最大的那个数大于另外两个数各自的 22 倍的概率是多少?(换句话说,如果所选的数为 abca \ge b \ge c,则 a>2ba \gt 2b。)

Three real numbers are chosen independently and uniformly at random between 00 and 1.1. What is the probability that the greatest of these three numbers is greater than 22 times each of the other two numbers? (In other words, if the chosen numbers are abc,a \ge b \ge c, then a>2b.a \gt 2b.)

112\dfrac{1}{12}

19\dfrac{1}{9}

18\dfrac{1}{8}

16\dfrac{1}{6}

14\dfrac{1}{4}

答案:E
知识点:几何概率微积分
难度评级:2270
解答:

将数按大小排列为 x1>x2>x3x_1 \gt x_2 \gt x_3;顺序统计量在这个区域上的联合密度为 66。所求事件为 x1>2x2x_1 \gt 2x_2

x3x_300x2x_2 积分,会贡献因子 x2x_2。于是 P=601/2x22x21dx1dx2=601/2x2(12x2)dx2. \begin{aligned} P &= 6\int_0^{1/2} x_2\int_{2x_2}^{1} dx_1\, dx_2 \\ &= 6\int_0^{1/2} x_2(1 - 2x_2)\, dx_2. \end{aligned}

这等于 6(18112)=6124=146\left(\dfrac{1}{8} - \dfrac{1}{12}\right) = 6 \cdot \dfrac{1}{24} = \dfrac{1}{4}

因此,正确答案是 E

Order the values as x1>x2>x3x_1 \gt x_2 \gt x_3; the joint density of the order statistics is 66 on this region. The event is x1>2x2.x_1 \gt 2x_2.

Integrating x3x_3 from 00 to x2x_2 contributes a factor of x2.x_2. Then P=601/2x22x21dx1dx2=601/2x2(12x2)dx2. \begin{aligned} P &= 6\int_0^{1/2} x_2\int_{2x_2}^{1} dx_1\, dx_2 \\ &= 6\int_0^{1/2} x_2(1 - 2x_2)\, dx_2. \end{aligned}

This equals 6(18112)=6124=14.6\left(\dfrac{1}{8} - \dfrac{1}{12}\right) = 6 \cdot \dfrac{1}{24} = \dfrac{1}{4}.

Thus, the correct answer is E.

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