2017 AMC 12B 第 10 题

先试着解答 2017 AMC 12B 第 10 题,然后核对你的答案与精心整理的解答,解答来自 LIVE by Po-Shen Loh。你也可以参加完整限时模拟考试、查看全部 2017 AMC 12B 解答,或核对答案。

所有题目均经美国数学协会(MAA)官方合法授权使用。

10.

在 Typico 高中,60%60\% 的学生喜欢跳舞,其余学生不喜欢。在喜欢跳舞的学生中,80%80\% 说自己喜欢跳舞,其余说自己不喜欢。在不喜欢跳舞的学生中,90%90\% 说自己不喜欢跳舞,其余说自己喜欢。在所有说自己不喜欢跳舞的学生中,实际喜欢跳舞的学生占多少比例?
At Typico High School, 60%60\% of the students like dancing, and the rest dislike it. Of those who like dancing, 80%80\% say that they like it, and the rest say that they dislike it. Of those who dislike dancing, 90%90\% say that they dislike it, and the rest say that they like it. What fraction of students who say they dislike dancing actually like it?
10%10\%
12%12\%
20%20\%
25%25\%
3313%33\tfrac{1}{3}\%
答案:D
知识点:条件概率贝叶斯定理
小提示:
喜欢跳舞但说自己不喜欢的学生占全体学生的 60%⋅20%60\% \cdot 20\%。
Students who like dancing but say they dislike it are 60%⋅20%60\% \cdot 20\% of all students
大提示:
用这一组人数除以所有说自己不喜欢跳舞的人数
Divide that group by the total who say they dislike dancing
解答:
喜欢跳舞但说自己不喜欢的学生占全体学生的 60%⋅20%=12%60\% \cdot 20\% = 12\%。不喜欢跳舞且如实这么说的学生占 40%⋅90%=36%40\% \cdot 90\% = 36\%。在所有说自己不喜欢跳舞的人中,实际喜欢跳舞的比例为 1212+36=1248=14=25%。\frac{12}{12 + 36} = \frac{12}{48} = \frac{1}{4} = 25\%\text{。}
所以正确答案是 D。
Students who like dancing but say they dislike it make up 60%⋅20%=12%60\% \cdot 20\% = 12\% of all students. Students who dislike dancing and say so make up 40%⋅90%=36%.40\% \cdot 90\% = 36\%. Among everyone who says they dislike dancing, the fraction who actually like it is 1212+36=1248=14=25%.\frac{12}{12 + 36} = \frac{12}{48} = \frac{1}{4} = 25\%.
Thus, the correct answer is D.
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