2025 AMC 12A 第 13 题

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13.

C={1,2,3,,13}C = \{1, 2, 3, \ldots, 13\}。令 NN 为最大的整数,使得存在一个有 NN 个元素的 CC 的子集,并且该子集不含五个连续整数。现在从 CC 中随机不放回地选出 NN 个整数。所选元素不包含五个连续整数的概率是多少?

Let C={1,2,3,,13}.C = \{1, 2, 3, \ldots, 13\}. Let NN be the greatest integer such that there exists a subset of CC with NN elements that does not contain five consecutive integers. Suppose NN integers are chosen at random from CC without replacement. What is the probability that the chosen elements do not include five consecutive integers?

3130\dfrac{3}{130}

3143\dfrac{3}{143}

5143\dfrac{5}{143}

126\dfrac{1}{26}

578\dfrac{5}{78}

答案:D
知识点:组合基本概率极端原理
难度评级:1660
解答:

要避免五个连续整数,只需去掉两个元素(例如 551010),而去掉一个元素不可能同时击中两个不相交的区块 {1,,5}\{1,\ldots,5\}{9,,13}.\{9,\ldots,13\}. 因此 N=11.N = 11.

1313 个元素中选 1111 个,等价于去掉 2,2, 个,共有 (132)=78\binom{13}{2} = 78 种。所选集合不含五个连续整数,当且仅当两个被去掉的元素合起来与每个窗口 {t,t+1,t+2,t+3,t+4}\{t, t+1, t+2, t+3, t+4\} 相交,其中 t=1,,9.t = 1, \ldots, 9.

这迫使一个被去掉的元素在 {1,,5},\{1,\ldots,5\}, 中,另一个在 {9,,13},\{9,\ldots,13\}, 中,并且两者相距不超过 55。有效的去法为 {4,9},\{4,9\}, {5,9},\{5,9\},{5,10},\{5,10\},33 种。

概率为 378=126.\dfrac{3}{78} = \dfrac{1}{26}.

因此,正确答案是 D

To avoid five consecutive integers, it suffices to remove two elements (for example 55 and 1010), and no single removal can hit both disjoint blocks {1,,5}\{1,\ldots,5\} and {9,,13}.\{9,\ldots,13\}. Thus N=11.N = 11.

Choosing 1111 of 1313 elements is the same as removing 2,2, which can be done in (132)=78\binom{13}{2} = 78 ways. The chosen set avoids five consecutive integers exactly when the two removed elements together intersect every window {t,t+1,t+2,t+3,t+4}\{t, t+1, t+2, t+3, t+4\} for t=1,,9.t = 1, \ldots, 9.

This forces one removed element in {1,,5},\{1,\ldots,5\}, the other in {9,,13},\{9,\ldots,13\}, and the two within 55 of each other. The valid removals are {4,9},\{4,9\}, {5,9},\{5,9\}, and {5,10},\{5,10\}, giving 33 of them.

The probability is 378=126.\dfrac{3}{78} = \dfrac{1}{26}.

Thus, the correct answer is D.

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