2015 AMC 12B Problem 9

Below is the professionally curated solution for Problem 9 of the 2015 AMC 12B, from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2015 AMC 12B solutions, or check the answer key.

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Concepts:recursive probabilitygeometric sequence

Difficulty rating: 1540

9.

Larry and Julius are playing a game, taking turns throwing a ball at a bottle sitting on a ledge. Larry throws first. The winner is the first person to knock the bottle off the ledge. At each turn the probability that a player knocks the bottle off the ledge is 12,\dfrac12, independently of what has happened before. What is the probability that Larry wins the game?

12\dfrac12

35\dfrac35

23\dfrac23

34\dfrac34

45\dfrac45

Solution:

Let xx be the probability Larry wins. He wins right away with probability 12,\dfrac12, or both players miss (probability 14\dfrac14) and the game restarts.

So x=12+14x,x = \dfrac12 + \dfrac14 x, giving 34x=12\dfrac34 x = \dfrac12 and x=23.x = \dfrac23.

Thus, the correct answer is C.

Problem 9 in Other Years