2015 AIME II 第 2 题

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2.

一所新学校中,4040% 的学生是一年级生,3030% 是二年级生,2020% 是三年级生, 1010% 是四年级生。所有一年级生都必须上拉丁语课;二年级生中有 8080%、三年级生中有 5050%、四年级生中有 2020% 选择上拉丁语课。随机选一名上拉丁语课的学生,他是二年级生的概率为 mn\frac{m}{n},其中 mmnn 是互质正整数。求 m+nm + n

In a new school 4040 percent of the students are freshmen, 3030 percent are sophomores, 2020 percent are juniors, and 1010 percent are seniors. All freshmen are required to take Latin, and 8080 percent of the sophomores, 5050 percent of the juniors, and 2020 percent of the seniors elect to take Latin. The probability that a randomly chosen Latin student is a sophomore is mn,\frac{m}{n}, where mm and nn are relatively prime positive integers. Find m+n.m + n.

答案:25
知识点:条件概率百分数
难度评级:1750
解答:

假设学校有 100100 名学生。上拉丁语课的学生有 4040 名一年级生、30(0.8)=2430(0.8) = 24 名二年级生、20(0.5)=1020(0.5) = 10 名三年级生,以及 10(0.2)=210(0.2) = 2 名四年级生,总共 7676 人。

随机选一名拉丁语学生是二年级生的概率为 2476=619\frac{24}{76} = \frac{6}{19},所以 m+n=6+19=25m + n = 6 + 19 = 25

Assume the school has 100100 students. The Latin students are then 4040 freshmen, 30(0.8)=2430(0.8) = 24 sophomores, 20(0.5)=1020(0.5) = 10 juniors, and 10(0.2)=210(0.2) = 2 seniors, for a total of 76.76.

The probability that a random Latin student is a sophomore is 2476=619,\frac{24}{76} = \frac{6}{19}, so m+n=6+19=25.m + n = 6 + 19 = 25.

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