2021 AMC 10A Spring Problem 23

Below is the professionally curated solution for Problem 23 of the 2021 AMC 10A Spring, from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2021 AMC 10A Spring solutions, or check the answer key.

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Concepts:random walkcasework

Difficulty rating: 1720

23.

Frieda the frog begins a sequence of hops on a 3×33 \times 3 grid of squares, moving one square on each hop and choosing at random the direction of each hop -- up, down, left, or right. She does not hop diagonally. When the direction of a hop would take Frieda off the grid, she "wraps around" and jumps to the opposite edge. For example, if Frieda begins in the center square and makes two hops "up", the first hop would place her in the top row middle square, and the second hop would cause Frieda to jump to the opposite edge, landing in the bottom row middle square.

Suppose Frieda starts from the center square, makes at most four hops at random, and stops hopping if she lands on a corner square. What is the probability that she reaches a corner square on one of the four hops?

916\dfrac{9}{16}

58\dfrac{5}{8}

34\dfrac{3}{4}

2532\dfrac{25}{32}

1316\dfrac{13}{16}

Solution:

Classify a square as MM for the center, EE for a non-corner edge square, and CC for a corner. Frieda starts at MM, and the first hop always takes her to an EE.

From an edge square, the probabilities of moving to C,E,MC,E,M are 12,14,14\frac12,\frac14,\frac14, respectively. From MM, the next hop always goes to an EE.

Now count the possible first-hit patterns within four hops:

EC:112=12,EC:\quad 1\cdot\frac12=\frac12,

EEC:11412=18,EEC:\quad 1\cdot\frac14\cdot\frac12=\frac18,

EEEC:1141412=132,EEEC:\quad 1\cdot\frac14\cdot\frac14\cdot\frac12=\frac1{32},

EMEC:114112=18.EMEC:\quad 1\cdot\frac14\cdot1\cdot\frac12=\frac18.

Adding gives

12+18+132+18=2532.\frac12+\frac18+\frac1{32}+\frac18=\frac{25}{32}.

Thus, D is the correct answer.

Problem 23 in Other Years