2002 AIME II Problem 12
Below is the professionally curated solution for Problem 12 of the 2002 AIME II, from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2002 AIME II solutions, or check the answer key.
All of the real AMC 8, AMC 10, AMC 12, and AIME problems in our complete solution collection are used with official legal permission of the Mathematical Association of America (MAA).
Difficulty rating: 2990
12.
A basketball player has a constant probability of of making any given shot, independent of previous shots. Let be the ratio of shots made to shots attempted after shots. The probability that and for all such that is given to be where and are primes, and and are positive integers. Find
Solution:
Record the player's progress as a path through points where is the number of shots made after attempts. The condition caps at which for is and means the path ends at
Count the allowed paths by adding, at each point, the counts of its two predecessors (a miss keeps a make raises it by ). The counts at the maximum allowed heights for come out to and the tenth shot must be a make, so shot sequences qualify. Each consists of makes and misses, so the probability is
Thus and giving
Problem 12 in Other Years
1997 AIME · 1998 AIME · 1999 AIME · 2000 AIME I · 2000 AIME II · 2001 AIME I · 2001 AIME II · 2002 AIME I · 2003 AIME I · 2003 AIME II · 2004 AIME I · 2004 AIME II · 2005 AIME I · 2005 AIME II · 2006 AIME I · 2006 AIME II · 2007 AIME I · 2007 AIME II · 2008 AIME I · 2008 AIME II · 2009 AIME I · 2009 AIME II · 2010 AIME I · 2010 AIME II · 2011 AIME I · 2011 AIME II · 2012 AIME I · 2012 AIME II · 2013 AIME I · 2013 AIME II · 2014 AIME I · 2014 AIME II · 2015 AIME I · 2015 AIME II · 2016 AIME I · 2016 AIME II · 2017 AIME I · 2017 AIME II · 2018 AIME I · 2018 AIME II · 2019 AIME I · 2019 AIME II · 2020 AIME I · 2020 AIME II · 2021 AIME I · 2021 AIME II · 2022 AIME I · 2022 AIME II · 2023 AIME I · 2023 AIME II · 2024 AIME I · 2024 AIME II · 2025 AIME I · 2025 AIME II · 2026 AIME I · 2026 AIME II