2010 AMC 10B 第 18 题

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18.

正整数 aabbcc 从集合 {1,2,3,,2010}\{1, 2, 3,\dots, 2010\} 中随机且独立地有放回选取。

abc+ab+aabc + ab + a 能被 33 整除的概率是多少?

Positive integers a,a, b,b, and cc are randomly and independently selected with replacement from the set {1,2,3,,2010}.\{1, 2, 3,\dots, 2010\}.

What is the probability that abc+ab+aabc + ab + a is divisible by 3?3?

13\dfrac{1}{3}

2981\dfrac{29}{81}

3181\dfrac{31}{81}

1127\dfrac{11}{27}

1327\dfrac{13}{27}

答案:E
知识点:模运算基本概率分类讨论
难度评级:1660
解答:

注意 abc+ab+a=a(bc+b+1). abc + ab + a = a(bc + b + 1). 因此若 aa 能被 3,3, 整除,整个表达式也能被它整除。

因为 20102010 能被 3,3, 整除,aa 能被 33 整除的概率为 13.\frac{1}{3}.

现在考虑 aa 不能被 3.3. 整除的情况。要使表达式能被 3,3, 整除,必须有 bc+b+1bc + b + 1 能被 3.3. 整除。

这意味着 bc+b=b(c+1)2(mod3). bc + b = b(c + 1) \equiv 2 \pmod{3}.

唯一可能是两个因子中一个模 3322,另一个模 3311

两种次序中的每一种,两个因子各有 13\frac{1}{3} 的概率得到所需余数,因此概率为 1313=19.\dfrac{1}{3} \cdot \dfrac{1}{3} = \dfrac{1}{9}.

共有两种次序,所以这种情况的概率为 29\dfrac{2}{9}

总概率为 131+2329=1327. \dfrac{1}{3} \cdot 1 + \dfrac{2}{3} \cdot \dfrac{2}{9} = \dfrac{13}{27}.

所以正确答案是 E

Note that abc+ab+a=a(bc+b+1). abc + ab + a = a(bc + b + 1). This means that if aa is divisible by 3,3, the whole expression is as well.

Since 20102010 is divisible by 3,3, we have that aa is divisible by 33 with probability 13.\frac{1}{3}.

Now consider aa not divisible by 3.3. For the expression to be divisible by 3,3, we must have that bc+b+1bc + b + 1 is divisible by 3.3.

This means that bc+b=b(c+1)2(mod3). bc + b = b(c + 1) \equiv 2 \pmod{3}.

The only possibility for this is that one of the factors is 22 mod 33 and the other is 11 mod 3.3.

For each of the two cases, there is a 13\frac{1}{3} chance that each of the factors is the desired modulus, for a probability of 1313=19.\dfrac{1}{3} \cdot \dfrac{1}{3} = \dfrac{1}{9}.

There are two cases, which means that this happens with a 29\dfrac{2}{9} probability.

The total probability is then 131+2329=1327. \dfrac{1}{3} \cdot 1 + \dfrac{2}{3} \cdot \dfrac{2}{9} = \dfrac{13}{27}.

Thus, E is the correct answer.

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