2019 AMC 10A 第 22 题
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所有题目均经美国数学协会(MAA)官方合法授权使用。
22.
按如下方式选择从 到 (含端点)的实数:先抛一枚公平硬币。若为正面,再抛一次,第二次为正面则选 ,第二次为反面则选 ;若第一次为反面,则从闭区间 中均匀随机选择一个数。两个随机数 和 独立地按这种方式选择。求 的概率。
Real numbers between and inclusive, are chosen in the following manner. A fair coin is flipped. If it lands heads, then it is flipped again and the chosen number is if the second flip is heads, and if the second flip is tails. On the other hand, if the first coin flip is tails, then the number is chosen uniformly at random from the closed interval Two random numbers and are chosen independently in this manner. What is the probability that
答案:B
解答:
按 和 是从区间中选取,还是从 与 中选取来分类。由于这取决于两次抛硬币,每种情况发生的概率都是 。
情况 和 都是 或
和 必须不同,发生概率为 。
情况 是 或 而 从 中选取
若 则 必须从 中选取;若 则 必须从 中选取。
所以 从正确区间中选出的概率总是 。
情况 从 中选取,而 是 或
由对称性,这种情况的概率与情况 相同。
情况 和 都从 中选取
由于要考察无穷多个 数对,可以使用几何概率。画出 的区域。
阴影面积占整个图形的 ,所以这种情况成功的概率为 。
把四个加权概率相加,得到
所以正确答案是 B。
We can case on whether and are chosen from the interval or from and Each case has a chance of happening, since they depend on two coin flips.
Case and are either or
and need to be different, which happens with a probability.
Case is either or and is chosen from
If then has to be chosen from and if then has to be chosen from
This means that always has a probability of being chosen from the correct interval.
Case is chosen from and is either or
This has the same probability as case due to symmetry.
Case and are chosen from
We can use geometric probability since we are working with an infinite number of pairs. We graph
The shaded area covers of the graph, showing that there is a probability of this case working.
Adding the four weighted probabilities gives
Thus, B is the correct answer.
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