2017 AMC 10B 第 9 题

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所有题目均经美国数学协会(MAA)官方合法授权使用。

9.

一个广播节目有一个由 33 道选择题组成的测验,每题有 33 个选项。参赛者答对 22 题或更多即获胜。参赛者随机回答每一道题。获胜的概率是多少?

A radio program has a quiz consisting of 33 multiple-choice questions, each with 33 choices. A contestant wins if he or she gets 22 or more of the questions right. The contestant answers randomly to each question. What is the probability of winning?

127\dfrac{1}{27}

19\dfrac{1}{9}

29\dfrac{2}{9}

727\dfrac{7}{27}

12\dfrac{1}{2}

答案:D
知识点:二项概率分类讨论
难度评级:1140
解答:

全部 33 题答对的概率为 恰好答对 22 题的概率为 合计概率为 (13)3=127.\left(\dfrac13\right)^3=\dfrac1{27}. (32)(13)2(23)=627.\binom32\left(\dfrac13\right)^2\left(\dfrac23\right)=\dfrac6{27}. 627+127=727.\dfrac6{27}+\dfrac1{27}=\dfrac7{27}.

所以正确答案是 D

The probability that a contestant gets all 33 correct is (13)3=127.\left(\dfrac13\right)^3=\dfrac1{27}. The probability of getting exactly 22 correct is (32)(13)2(23)=627.\binom32\left(\dfrac13\right)^2\left(\dfrac23\right)=\dfrac6{27}. The combined probability is 627+127=727.\dfrac6{27}+\dfrac1{27}=\dfrac7{27}.

Thus, the correct answer is D .

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