2017 AMC 12B Problem 10

Attempt Problem 10 of the 2017 AMC 12B below, then check your answer against the professionally curated solution from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2017 AMC 12B solutions, or check the answer key.

All problems are used with official legal permission of the Mathematical Association of America (MAA).

10.

At Typico High School, 60%60\% of the students like dancing, and the rest dislike it. Of those who like dancing, 80%80\% say that they like it, and the rest say that they dislike it. Of those who dislike dancing, 90%90\% say that they dislike it, and the rest say that they like it. What fraction of students who say they dislike dancing actually like it?
10%10\%
12%12\%
20%20\%
25%25\%
3313%33\tfrac{1}{3}\%
Answer: D
Concepts:conditional probabilityBayes’ Theorem
Small hint:
Students who like dancing but say they dislike it are 60%⋅20%60\% \cdot 20\% of all students
Big hint:
Divide that group by the total who say they dislike dancing
Solution:
Students who like dancing but say they dislike it make up 60%⋅20%=12%60\% \cdot 20\% = 12\% of all students. Students who dislike dancing and say so make up 40%⋅90%=36%.40\% \cdot 90\% = 36\%. Among everyone who says they dislike dancing, the fraction who actually like it is 1212+36=1248=14=25%.\frac{12}{12 + 36} = \frac{12}{48} = \frac{1}{4} = 25\%.
Thus, the correct answer is D.
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