2024 AMC 10A Problem 17

Below is the professionally curated solution for Problem 17 of the 2024 AMC 10A, from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2024 AMC 10A solutions, or check the answer key.

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Concepts:independent eventsquadraticcasework

Difficulty rating: 1800

17.

Two teams are in a best-two-out-of-three playoff: the teams will play at most 33 games, and the winner of the playoff is the first team to win 22 games. The first game is played on Team A's home field, and the remaining games are played on Team B's home field. Team A has a 23\tfrac23 chance of winning at home, and its probability of winning when playing away from home is p.p. Outcomes of the games are independent. The probability that Team A wins the playoff is 12.\tfrac12. Then pp can be written in the form 12 ⁣(mn),\tfrac12\!\left(m - \sqrt{n}\right), where mm and nn are positive integers. What is m+n?m + n?

1010

1111

1212

1313

1414

Solution:

Team A takes game 11 at home with probability 23,\tfrac23, and each away game with probability p.p. It can win the playoff three disjoint ways: win games 1,2;1, 2; win 1,1, lose 2,2, win 3;3; lose 1,1, win 2,3.2, 3. Adding those, 23p+23(1p)p+13p2=12.\tfrac23 p + \tfrac23(1 - p)p + \tfrac13 p^2 = \tfrac12. This cleans up to 2p28p+3=0,2p^2 - 8p + 3 = 0, so p=4102=12 ⁣(410).p = \tfrac{4 - \sqrt{10}}{2} = \tfrac12\!\left(4 - \sqrt{10}\right). Then m=4,m = 4, n=10,n = 10, and m+n=14.m + n = 14. Thus, E is the correct answer.

Problem 17 in Other Years