2022 AMC 10B Problem 12

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Concepts:dice (probability)complementary probability

Difficulty rating: 960

12.

A pair of fair 66-sided dice is rolled nn times. What is the least value of nn such that the probability that the sum of the numbers face up on a roll equals 77 at least once is greater than 12?\dfrac{1}{2}?

2 2

3 3

4 4

5 5

6 6

Solution:

To compute this, we can also find the least nn such that the probability of not rolling a 77 is less than 12.\dfrac 12. Each roll has an independent probability of 16\dfrac 16 of getting 7,7, so it has a 56\dfrac 56 probability of not landing on 7.7.

Thus, the probability of none of the rolls being 77 is (56)n.\left(\dfrac 56\right)^n. We must find the least nn such that (56)n<12.\left(\dfrac 56\right)^n < \dfrac 12.

If n=3,n=3, then the probability is 125216,\dfrac{125}{216}, which is greater than 12.\dfrac 12.

If n=4,n=4, then the probability is 6251296,\dfrac{625}{1296}, which is less than 12.\dfrac 12. This makes the answer 4.4.

Thus, the answer is C .

Problem 12 in Other Years