2012 AMC 12A Problem 15

Below is the professionally curated solution for Problem 15 of the 2012 AMC 12A, from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2012 AMC 12A solutions, or check the answer key.

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Concepts:basic probabilitysymmetrycasework

Difficulty rating: 1930

15.

A 3×33 \times 3 square is partitioned into 99 unit squares. Each unit square is painted either white or black with each color being equally likely, chosen independently and at random. The square is then rotated 9090^\circ clockwise about its center, and every white square in a position formerly occupied by a black square is painted black. The colors of all other squares are left unchanged. What is the probability that the grid is now entirely black?

49512\dfrac{49}{512}

764\dfrac{7}{64}

1211024\dfrac{121}{1024}

81512\dfrac{81}{512}

932\dfrac{9}{32}

Solution:

The four corners form one cycle under the rotation, the four edge squares form another, and the center is fixed. These three groups are independent.

For the four corners, checking the 24=162^4 = 16 colorings shows that 77 of them end all black, so the corners are all black with probability 716.\dfrac{7}{16}. The same holds for the four edges.

The center is black at the end only if it started black, with probability 12.\dfrac12. Multiplying, the whole grid is black with probability 12(716)2=49512.\frac12 \cdot \left(\frac{7}{16}\right)^2 = \frac{49}{512}.

Thus, the correct answer is A.

Problem 15 in Other Years