2021 AMC 10A Fall Problem 21

Attempt Problem 21 of the 2021 AMC 10A Fall below, then check your answer against the professionally curated solution from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2021 AMC 10A Fall solutions, or check the answer key.

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21.

Each of 2020 balls is tossed independently and at random into one of the 55 bins. Let pp be the probability that some bin ends up with 33 balls, another with 55 balls, and the other three with 44 balls each. Let qq be the probability that every bin ends up with 44 balls. What is pq?\dfrac{p}{q}?

11

44

88

1212

1616

Answer: E
Concepts:combinationsbasic probability
Difficulty rating: 1540
Solution:

All 5205^{20} assignments of the distinguishable balls to the labeled bins are equally likely. For q,q, the number of assignments is 20!(4!)5.\frac{20!}{(4!)^5}.

For p,p, choose the bin with 33 balls and the bin with 55 balls in 545\cdot4 ways. The number of assignments is then 5420!3!5!(4!)3.5\cdot4\cdot\frac{20!}{3!5!(4!)^3}.

The common probability denominator cancels, so pq=20(4!)23!5!=2045=16.\frac pq=20\cdot\frac{(4!)^2}{3!5!}=20\cdot\frac45=16.

Thus, E is the correct answer.

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