2022 AMC 12B Problem 12

Attempt Problem 12 of the 2022 AMC 12B below, then check your answer against the professionally curated solution from LIVE by Po-Shen Loh. You can also try the full timed exam, view all 2022 AMC 12B solutions, or check the answer key.

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12.

Kayla rolls four fair 66-sided dice. What is the probability that at least one of the numbers Kayla rolls is greater than 44 and at least two of the numbers she rolls are greater than 2?2?

23\dfrac{2}{3}

1927\dfrac{19}{27}

5981\dfrac{59}{81}

6181\dfrac{61}{81}

79\dfrac{7}{9}

Answer: D
Concepts:dice (probability)complementary countinginclusion-exclusion
Difficulty rating: 1630
Solution:

Sort each die into low {1,2},\{1,2\}, mid {3,4},\{3,4\}, or high {5,6};\{5,6\}; each has probability 13,\tfrac13, so the 34=813^4 = 81 category patterns are equally likely.

We need at least one high die (a number greater than 44) and at least two dice that are greater than 22 (mid or high). The two bad events are having no high die and having at most one non-low die.

There are 24=162^4 = 16 patterns of the first kind, 99 of the second kind, and 55 in their intersection. By inclusion-exclusion the count of good patterns is 81169+5=61.81 - 16 - 9 + 5 = 61.

The probability is 6181.\dfrac{61}{81}.

Thus, the correct answer is D.

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